The Breakdown
Not too many changes from last week. The reason that Marquette gets a bid this week is because they have 2 winnable road games this week and a favorable schedule after that (since they have only one more road game left). Stanford who we have left out has a similar situation with only 2 road games left and could very well finish up 6-1 in Pac-10 play, but Marquette gets the nod over them because of their better out of conference play and overall record. LSU hangs on for another week because they have 2 winnable conference games this week. Texas A&M continues to be plagued by their low RPI. Notre Dame really could have used that win at Syracuse on Saturday. Things don't get any easier for them with BC coming in and playing at Pitt this week. We think ND can pull off an upset in one of these games but if they can't, then don't expect to see them here next week. Having the toughest Big East schedule in the league will help there RPI and make up for a weak out of conference showing but if that leads to a .500 or worse conference record they will be left out of the dance.
Mid-Major/Small Conference ramblings....There are a number of teams coming from one bid conferences right now that have a good chance of getting an at large bid if they did not win their conference tourneys. Utah and Pacific (unless they get screwed like Utah St. did last year) should both receive at-large berths, while Vermont and GW also have resumes that would land them on the bubble. Every year upsets happen in conference tourney's which end up costing the big conferences at-large berths and we don't expect this year to be any different. Starting next week we will try to predict some of the potential upsets by looking at past conference tourney history and by looking at the venues where conference tourney's are being held this year. This will give a more realistic bracket in terms of the number of at-large berths that the big conferences will be fighting for.
Conference Breakdown
Big East (7), ACC (6), C-USA (6), Big XII (5), Big Ten (5), SEC (5), PAC-10 (4), MVC (2), WAC (2), WCC (2).
Last Four In
UTEP, Miami-Fla., LSU, Marquette
Last Four Out
Texas A&M, South Carolina, Stanford, Boston University
The Field Of 65
America East
Vermont
A-10
George Washington
ACC
North Carolina, Duke, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Maryland, Miami-Fla.
Atlantic Sun
Gardner-Webb
Big 12
Oklahoma St., Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas Tech
Big East
Syracuse, Boston College, Pitt, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Villanova, Georgetown
Big Sky
Portland State
Big South
Winthrop
Big Ten
Illinois, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota
Big West
Pacific
Colonial
Old Dominion
C-USA
Cincinnati, Louisville, Charlotte, DePaul, UAB, Marquette
Horizon
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Ivy
Penn
MAAC
Rider
MCC
UMKC
MAC
Miami-Ohio
MEAC
Coppin St.
MVC
Southern Ill., Wichita State
MWC
Utah
Northeast
Monmouth
Ohio Valley
Samford
PAC-10
Washington, Arizona, UCLA, Arizona State
Patriot
Holy Cross
SEC
Kentucky, Miss. St., Alabama, Florida, LSU
Southern
Davidson
Southland
SE Louisiana
SWAC
Alabama A&M
Sun Belt
Denver
WCC
Gonzaga, St. Mary's
WAC
UTEP, Nevada
*Note - In the conferences where mulitple bids were given the first place team was given the automatic bid. In the case of a tie, overall record was the tiebreaker.
The Seeds
The 1s
Illinois, Boston College, North Carolina, Kansas
The 2s
Wake Forest, Duke, Kentucky, Oklahoma State
The 3s
Syracuse, Washington, Louisville, Arizona
The 4s
Oklahoma, Michigan State, Gonzaga, Wisconsin
The 5s
Cincinnati, Alabama, Utah, Pittsburgh
The 6s
Connecticut, Texas Tech, Texas, Mississippi State
The 7s
Georgia Tech, Minnesota, Pacific, Florida
The 8s
Villanova, Wichita State, Maryland, Georgetown
The 9s
Southern Illinois, St. Mary's, Charlotte, Depaul
The 10s
Vermont, Nevada, UAB, Iowa
The 11s
George Washington, Notre Dame, UCLA, Arizona State
The 12s
Miami-Ohio, LSU, UTEP, Miami-Fla.
The 13s
The 14s
Rider, Penn,
The 15s
The 16s
UMKC,
8 comments:
Yay, seeds!
How is Kentucky not a #1 seed...they're rolling now....8 straight and 9-0 in conference. I know the SEC is down a bit, but the CATS are playing their best ball of the season and should run the table for the second time in 3 years in the SEC. Their only tests left are at Bama and at Florida.
I'm assuming that you haven't updated this since B.C. got picked off at Notre Dame.
Really like your site and hope to see UK up there as a 1 seed in your next update....not that it matters much now....because we all know what happened last year against UAB...F it.
Casey
Great article! Thanks.
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