Final Bracket Reasoning....
-Seton Hall's big road wins put them over the top for a bid.
-Michigan gets left out because of their bad finish. A major reason for their poor finish was injuries but even with Abram back against Minnesota they still lost.
-Hofstra gets the nod over George Mason because of their two late season wins against them and because of Skinn's suspension. It was also tough to put Mason in ahead of Creighton since they lost at home to them by 20.
-Creighton's losing 4 out of their last 6 kept them out of the field.
Here is Chris and Craig's final Field of 65:
Last Four In
Texas A&M, Missouri State, Seton Hall, Hofstra
Last Four Out
Michigan, George Mason, Creighton, Florida State
Conference Breakdown
Big East (9), Big Ten (6), SEC (6), MVC (5), ACC (4), Pac-10 (4), Big 12 (4), C-USA (2), Colonial (2), A-10 (2)
America East - Albany
ACC - Duke, North Carolina, Boston College, North Carolina State
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
A-10 - Xavier, George Washington
Big East - UConn, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, West Virginia, Georgetown, Marquette, Cincinnati, Seton Hall
Big Sky - Montana
Big South - Winthrop
Big Ten - Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan State, Indiana, Wisconsin
Big 12 - Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas A&M
Big West - Pacific
Colonial - NC-Wilmington, Hofstra
C-USA - Memphis, UAB
Horizon - Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Ivy - Penn
Metro Atlantic - Iona
MAC - Kent State
MCC - Oral Roberts
MEAC - Hampton
MVC - Southern Illinois, Wichita State, Northern Iowa, Bradley, Missouri State
MWC - San Diego State
Northeast - Monmouth
Ohio Valley - Murray State
Pac-10 - UCLA, Washington, Arizona, California
Patriot - Bucknell
SEC - LSU, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas, Kentucky, Alabama
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Northwestern State
SWAC - Southern
Sun Belt - South Alabama
WAC - Nevada
WCC - Gonzaga
The Seeds
The 1s
Duke, UConn, Villanova, Memphis
The 2s
Ohio State, Texas, UCLA, Illinois
The 3s
Iowa, Gonzaga, Pittsburgh, North Carolina
The 4s
Boston College, LSU, Florida, Kansas
The 5s
Syracuse, Michigan State, Tennessee, West Virginia
The 6s
George Washington, Washington, Georgetown, Nevada
The 7s
Oklahoma, Indiana, Marquette, Arkansas
The 8s
Wisconsin, Wichita State, Kentucky, Southern Illinois
The 9s
Bucknell, UAB, Arizona, California
The 10s
Northern Iowa, Bradley, North Carolina State, Cincinnati
The 11s
NC-Wilmington, San Diego State, Alabama, Texas A&M
The 12s
Missouri State, Seton Hall, Hofstra, Kent State
The 13s
Wisconsin-Milwaukee, South Alabama, Xavier, Iona
The 14s
Winthrop, Murray State, Northwestern State, Montana
The 15s
Pacific, Penn, Davidson, Albany
The 16s
Oral Roberts, Belmont, Southern, Monmouth (Play-In Game), Hampton (Play-In Game)
The Bracket
Bracketology 101's Final Field of 65
Bracket courtesy Matt Reeves.
Questions? Comments? E-mail Chris and Craig at bracketologyblog@yahoo.com
7 comments:
I agree 100% with your field.
you are wrong. FSU is in...100%
FSU has no chance of getting in
I like your field..but I have an eerie feeling that the selection committee will deliver one or two surprises. The mid-major effect with good RPI's or the Big East-effect with difficult scheduling.
Can someone give me a definitive answer on this? Clearly the odds of picking a perfect bracket are mathematically miniscule [See http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20050316/news_1s16canepa.html]. However every explanation I've seen is based on if the games were tossups [http://mathforum.org/library/drmath/view/56223.html] to demonstrate that the odds are next to nothing.
But a 1 seed has never lost to a 16. A 15 seed has only beaten a 2 seed a few times (1991, 1993, 1997, 2001).
What I would like to see is someone demonstrate the odds based on percentages (100% chance of 1 beating 16, maybe 98% chance of a 2 beating a 15, etc....all the way down to say a 53% chance an 8 beats a 9)?
Can anyone calculate fairer odds (or point me to a website where someone else has done that)?
I recognize that a perfect bracket is next to impossible, but I have a hard time believe someone sometime within our lifetimes isn't going to nail it.
There is only 1 thing I disagree with. I have George Mason in & Hofstra out.
well, jay bilas will cry like a baby is George Mason gets in over Michigan
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