Changes From Last Bracket
In: Iowa, Bucknell
Out: Xavier, Holy Cross
Automatics: Bucknell
Breakdown
Two more teams eliminated themselves on Friday (Indiana and Virginia Tech), while Miami-Ohio seriously damaged their chances. Iowa has come out of no where to win 5 in a row and play themselves in. They have finally proved that they can win without Pierce and at the moment are looking fairly safe for a bid. Things should be very clear after Saturday's games play out.
Many teams have the opportunity to claim automatic bids and not have to worry about their at-large chances. Vermont has had a weak finish and a home loss to end the season would not look good for them so they need to beat Northeastern today. New Mexico does not want to rest their fate in the hands of the committee. Their only quality victory was against Utah and their out of conference schedule was disgusting. UTEP would be safe if they were playing Nevada today but a loss to Boise St. is a bad loss and they would be in trouble. George Washington has a weak RPI but some good wins out of conference (Michigan St. and Maryland). Their 5 A-10 losses does not look good for them though, especially considering how poorly the A-10 is rated. Buffalo is streaking at the right time and if they don't win today they are probably the only MAC team at this point who has a shot at a at-large bid, but without a big out of conference victory they don't want to leave their fate up to the committee.
UAB will now have be on pins and needles until Sunday evening after their loss to Louisville. DePaul and UAB will both be huge Lousiville fans today because a Memphis win means that one of them isn't going dancin'. Notre Dame will also be cheering hard for Louisville, Pacific, GW, Utah, UTEP, and Buffalo. A loss by any of these teams and their chances are likely killed. Our next update will come on Sunday afternoon.
Conference Breakdown
Big East (6), Big XII (6), ACC (5), C-USA (5), SEC (5), Big Ten (5), PAC-10 (4), Big West (2), MVC (2), MWC (2), WAC (2), WCC (2).
Last Four In
Iowa, New Mexico, UAB, DePaul
Last Four Out
Notre Dame, Maryland, Northern Iowa, Miami-Ohio
The Field Of 65
America East
Vermont
A-10
George Washington
ACC
North Carolina, Wake Forest, Duke, Georgia Tech, NC State
Atlantic Sun
CENTRAL FLORIDA
Big 12
Kansas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Texas Tech, Texas, Iowa State
Big East
Boston College, Connecticut, Syracuse, Villanova, Pittsburgh, West Virginia
Big Sky
MONTANA
Big South
WINTHROP
Big Ten
Illinois, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa
Big West
Utah State, Pacific
Colonial
OLD DOMINION
C-USA
Louisville, Charlotte, Cincinnati, UAB, DePaul
Horizon
WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE
Ivy
PENN
MAAC
NIAGARA
MCC
OAKLAND
MAC
Buffalo
MEAC
Delaware State
MVC
CREIGHTON, Southern Illinois
MWC
New Mexico, Utah
Northeast
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Ohio Valley
EASTERN KENTUCKY
PAC-10
Arizona, Washington, UCLA, Stanford
Patriot
BUCKNELL
SEC
Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi State, Florida, LSU
Southern
TENNESSEE-CHATTANOOGA
Southland
SE Louisiana
SWAC
Alabama A&M
Sun Belt
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
WCC
GONZAGA, St. Mary's
WAC
Nevada, UTEP
The Seeds
The 1s
Illinois, North Carolina, Wake Forest, Kansas
The 2s
Duke, Kentucky, Arizona, Louisville
The 3s
Oklahoma, Washington, Oklahoma State, Connecticut
The 4s
Boston College, GONZAGA, Alabama, Syracuse
The 5s
Michigan State, Utah, Villanova, Wisconsin
The 6s
Florida, Pacific, LSU, Cincinnati
The 7s
Pittsburgh, Texas Tech, Minnesota, Southern Illinois
The 8s
West Virginia, Mississippi State, Georgia Tech, Charlotte
The 9s
Nevada, Iowa State, Texas, Stanford
The 10s
UCLA, NC State, St. Mary's, Iowa
The 11s
CREIGHTON, UTEP, George Washington, Vermont
The 12s
Buffalo, DePaul, UAB, New Mexico
The 13s
OLD DOMINION, WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE, Utah State, PENNSYLVANIA
The 14s
BUCKNELL, WINTHROP, LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE, NIAGARA
The 15s
The 16s
Small conference CAPS denotes automatic bid earned.
Questions? Comments? E-mail Chris and Craig at bracketologyblog@yahoo.com
5 comments:
Do you think that Memphis deserves a bid? They held Louisville tough and were 2 points away from going to the dance
Does Maryland have any bit of a chance considering they beat Duke twice and beat Georgia Tech?
In a word...no. The Terps lost their last four games (two to Clemson, and three overall to Clemson on the season.) Sweep of Duke and win over GT is all they can hang their hat on at this point and they have no good out-of-conference wins, plus the committee strongly considers how you are playing down the stretch. It's hard to find a bubble team in more of a a tailspin down the stretch than Maryland (4-6 last 10). It also didn't help the Terps that fellow bubble dwellers NC State and Iowa (who's definitely in) had a good showing at the ACC Tournament, and that New Mexico and Ohio stole bids. In the end, the Terps' chances are slim to none at best.
Congratulations on sticking with SE Louisiana in the Southland. The Lions are playing on the road in the tourney final Sunday, have a key starter out for the game (Neill Berry) and are seeing teams shamelessy smother and goad into foul trouble their 6-10 center, Nate Lofton. Here's hoping Lofton and the Lions make the NCAAs. Lofton will play in the NBA. How often do you see a double-digit scorer at center who also leads his team in rebounds, blocked shots, steals AND assists? And he's an extraordinary team leader to boot. Billy Kennedy, who coaches Lofton, has had only one other player whom he rates a better passer than Lofton. While an assistant at Cal, Kennedy coached some cat by the name of Kidd. ... With one of the best small forwards in the country in Ricky Woods, a sound point guard in Terry Bryant and a stellar team defensive identity, SLU packs the tools to approach that rarest of NCAA summits: a No. 15 seed upset of a No. 2.
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