Monday, January 19, 2009

Bracketology 101's Field Of 65 - Jan. 19

In this week's bracket, we had more drastic changes in terms of certain teams' seeds than we did in terms of which teams made the field. We removed Maryland and Arizona after their two-loss weeks and replaced them with Missouri and USC. Maryland's heartbreaking losses down in Florida could really come back to haunt them in March. The Terps have good enough OOC wins for a bid, but with the schedule they have left it's tough to imagine them getting there. Arizona's road struggles continued, but they certainly have a great opportunity to get back into the bracket over the next few weeks since six out of their next eight are at home. Missouri finally snuck into a bracket after being stuck on the Last Four Out line all season. The Tigers have some solid OOC wins over USC and Cal and should benefit from their relatively easy conference schedule (they play Oklahoma, Texas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, and Texas A&M once). We think that USC might finally be rounding into form and could start living up to some of their preseason predictions.

We had numerous teams move up and down multiple seed lines since last week. Louisville, Ohio State, Florida, and Florida State all shot up, while UCLA, Arkansas, and UNLV fell far. Louisville and Ohio State went up three lines, while Florida and Florida State skyrocketed up four lines. The reasons are obvious for Lousville (wins against ND and Pitt) and Ohio State (a win at Michigan), but are a bit more subtle when it comes to Florida and Florida State. Florida still lacks a marquee victory, but they continue to be consistent (10 wins in a row) and have to be considered the top SEC team at this point. Florida State, meanwhile, pulled out two solid ACC victories this week and simply has a better resume then the teams below them at this point. We had to drop UCLA two lines after their home collapse against Arizona State. The Bruins have not lived up to their preseason expectations so far, and need to beat a solid tournament team before we can believe they have any Final Four potential. UNLV and Arkansas have both had some very impressive OOC wins but have fallen on their faces in early conference play, and their seeds are a reflection of that.


Bracket Breakdown
In This Week
Missouri, USC, Albany, Austin Peay

Out This Week
Maryland, Arizona, Binghamton, Morehead State

Last Four In
Arkansas, BYU, Missouri, USC

Last Four Out
Oklahoma State, Stanford, Maryland, Arizona

Next Four Out
LSU, Mississippi State, Penn State, Utah


Conference Breakdown
Big East (9), Big Ten (7), ACC (6), Big XII (6), Pac-10 (5), SEC (4), A-10 (2), MWC (2), WCC (2)

America East - Albany

ACC - Wake Forest, Duke, North Carolina, Clemson, Florida State, Miami (FL)

Atlantic Sun - East Tennessee State

A-10 - Xavier, Dayton

Big East - Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Georgetown, Syracuse, Marquette, Notre Dame, West Virginia, Villanova

Big Sky - Weber State

Big South - VMI

Big Ten - Michigan State, Ohio State, Minnesota, Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Wisconsin

Big XII - Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Kansas, Texas A&M, Missouri

Big West - Long Beach State

Colonial - George Mason

Conference USA - Memphis

Horizon - Butler

Ivy - Cornell

MAAC - Siena

MAC - Miami (OH)

MEAC - Hampton

MVC - Illinois State


Northeast - Robert Morris

Ohio Valley - Austin Peay

Pac-10 - Arizona State, California, UCLA, Washington, USC

Patriot - American

SEC - Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas

Southern - Davidson

Southland - Stephen F. Austin

Summit - North Dakota State

Sun Belt - Western Kentucky

SWAC - Alabama State

WAC - Utah State

WCC - Gonzaga, St. Mary's


The Seeds
The 1s
Wake Forest, Duke, Oklahoma, Connecticut

The 2s
Pittsburgh, Michigan State, North Carolina, Louisville

The 3s
Clemson, Georgetown, Syracuse, Texas

The 4s
Xavier, Marquette, Ohio State, Arizona State

The 5s
Butler, California, Notre Dame, Minnesota

The 6s
UCLA, Gonzaga, Illinois, Florida

The 7s
Purdue, Memphis, Michigan, Florida State

The 8s
Wisconsin, Baylor, Miami (FL), Kentucky

The 9s
Kansas, Tennessee, St. Mary's, West Virginia

The 10s
Davidson, Texas A&M, Villanova, Washington

The 11s
Utah State, Dayton, Arkansas, UNLV

The 12s
BYU, Missouri, USC, Illinois State

The 13s
George Mason, Siena, Western Kentucky, Miami (OH)

The 14s
VMI, Stephen F. Austin, Long Beach State, Weber State

The 15s
North Dakota State, Albany, Cornell, East Tennessee State

The 16s
Austin Peay, American, Robert Morris, Hampton (Play-In Game), Alabama State (Play-In-Game)

The Bracket
(Bracket courtesy Matt Reeves)

Questions? Comments? E-mail Bracketology 101 at


Bryan said...

Nice job on the bracket
B101. Looks good at this point. Can't believe my 'Noles are a 7 (Never thought I'd ever see them up that far), but of course, lots of conference play left, including 2 big road games vs Miami and UVA this week, before facing "Goliath" (UNC) at home. Next 3 games will tell us a lot about FSU.
As for your comments on Florida being the team to beat in the SEC right now, I think I have to respectfully disagree. I know they are hot right now, but I think that Kentucky is the better team, and they look like they're starting to figure things out up there. UK should be a contender to win the SEC.. I'm just not sold on UF at this point. Kind of tough to read the SEC this year with the conference being as down as it is.

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