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For the second straight week, there were a lot of changes to our Field of 65, including the departure of one big name that isn't exactly used to seeing its name on the wrong side of the bubble.
That unfortunate distinction belongs to
UConn, who lost at home to Pittsburgh and at Michigan this week to fall from the 9 line all the way to the Last Four Out list. For the past few weeks, we have been the Huskies' harshest critics and we have often voiced our complaints about the 4 and 5 seeds they were receiving from other
bracketologists. It was clear to us that those seeds were being handed out because of
UConn's reputation and not because of their on-court performance, but there is no way to support them as an at-large candidate any longer (right,
Lunardi? Palm?
Glockner?). The Huskies still have no quality Big East wins, they only have one halfway-decent
OOC win (William & Mary...yikes), and (oh, by the way) they have a date with top-ranked Texas looming on Saturday. If they could ever knock off the Longhorns, this whole discussion would be moot. But based on how the Huskies played in Ann Arbor, it's almost impossible to envision a second-ever court rush at
Gampel happening this weekend.
UConn's exit from the bracket, coupled with
Notre Dame's removal (can we call a mulligan on the Irish?) means that the Big East, despite its No. 1 conference
RPI, has just six teams in this week's field. That's just two more than the A-10, which now has four bids with the addition of Xavier to the bracket. The Musketeers knocked off Charlotte and Dayton at home to leap-
frog Rhode Island as the league's fourth representative. For the second straight week, the Rams are the last team left out of our bracket. One reason why is the emergence of Xavier, but perhaps a more important reason is our long-standing belief that the A-10 will get a max of four bids come Selection Sunday. Everything would have to break perfect over the next month and a half (and especially during Championship Week) for all five tourney-caliber A-10 teams to make it, so we plan on sticking with four A-10 bids for the
foreseeable future.
The other three additions to our field were a little more difficult to pick. One of them ended up being Arizona State, who jumped into the bracket thanks to a road sweep of the Oregon schools. The Sun Devils have now won four in a row in conference, and in doing so have helped bring a little bit of credibility back to the
beleaguered Pac-10. The Pac-10 is back to a two-bid league this week, led by Washington on the 9 line. Illinois also found its way back into the bracket this week, despite losing at Michigan State on Saturday. We like the fact that at 4-1, the
Illini are alone in second place in the Big Ten and that they have two quality
OOC wins (Clemson and Vanderbilt) that are looking better by the day. We also think they have a great chance to pad their resume on Tuesday at home against Purdue.
Meanwhile, in the
ACC, Virginia's home wins over Georgia Tech and Miami vaulted them into the bracket this week and knocked the slumping Hurricanes out. The upstart Cavaliers have now won seven straight and are the lone unbeaten in the
ACC standings, and looking ahead, we think that's it's very conceivable that they can finish 10-6 in conference with the schedule they have left. They'll probably need those 10 wins to make up for a not-so-great
OOC resume, but right now we like their chances to pull that off.
The most unexpected entrant in this week's field, though, has to be Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane haven't even been one of our Last Eight Out over the last few weeks, but nevertheless, they are in this week as the automatic bid out of C-USA. Why the automatic? First, we didn't like any of the at-large options we had left. Second, and more importantly, the C-USA conference tournament is being held this year on Tulsa's home floor, and as they showed again this week, the Golden Hurricane are a pretty dominant team at home. They blew out
UCF by 20 at the Reynolds Center on Saturday and that win marked the ninth time in 10 home games that Tulsa has won by double digits. That streak includes a 21-point win over Oklahoma State back on Dec. 2. Looking ahead, we really like
UAB's chances to win the C-USA regular season title and to get an at-large, but we think the conference tourney is going to be wide open. Four or five teams could win it, but it's hard not to like Tulsa based on what they've done in at home so far this season.
In terms of seeding, a couple of teams made big climbs this week. No team made a bigger leap than Ohio State, who moved from an 11 to a 5 after knocking off Purdue and Wisconsin. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, jumped from a 5 to a 2 thanks to wins over
UConn and Louisville, and Vanderbilt moved from a 9 to a 6 after wins at Alabama and at South Carolina. The biggest drops belonged to North Carolina, who fell from a 4 to an 8 after an 0-2 week, and Minnesota, who fell from an 8 to the Last Four In list after losing at Michigan State and at Indiana.
Bracket Breakdown
Last Four In
Minnesota, Arizona State, Wichita State, Virginia
Last Four OutRhode Island, Connecticut, Miami (FL), Northwestern
Next Four OutVirginia Tech,
Notre Dame, St. Mary's, St. John's
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Conference Breakdown
ACC (7), Big XII (6), Big East (6), Big Ten (6), SEC (6), A-10 (4),
MWC (3), Pac-10 (2), C-USA (2),
MVC (2)
America East - Vermont
ACC - Duke, Clemson, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Florida State, Virginia
Atlantic Sun - Mercer
A-10 - Temple, Richmond, Dayton, Xavier
Big East - Syracuse,
Villanova, Pittsburgh, Georgetown, West Virginia, Cincinnati
Big Sky - Northern Colorado
Big South - Coastal Carolina
Big Ten - Michigan State, Wisconsin, Purdue, Ohio State, Illinois, Minnesota
Big XII - Texas, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas A&M, Baylor, Missouri
Big West - Pacific
Colonial - William & Mary
Conference USA - Tulsa, UAB
Horizon - Butler
Ivy - Cornell
MAAC -
SienaMAC - Buffalo
MEAC - Morgan State
MVC - Northern Iowa, Wichita State
MWC -
BYU, New Mexico,
UNLVNortheast - Robert Morris
Ohio Valley - Murray State
Pac-10 - Washington, Arizona State
Patriot - Lafayette
SEC - Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Mississippi, Florida
Southern - Charleston
Southland - Sam Houston State
Summit - Oakland
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
SWAC - Jackson State
WAC - Louisiana Tech
WCC -
Gonzaga----------------------------------------------------------------
The Seeds
The 1sTexas, Kentucky, Kansas, Syracuse
The 2sVillanova, Duke, Michigan State, Pittsburgh
The 3sPurdue, Tennessee, Wisconsin, Kansas State
The 4sGeorgetown, West Virginia,
Gonzaga, Temple
The 5sClemson, Butler, Ohio State, Wake Forest
The 6s
BYU, Mississippi State, New Mexico, Vanderbilt
The 7sGeorgia Tech,
UAB, Northern Iowa, Mississippi
The 8s
North Carolina, Texas A&M, Florida, William & Mary
The 9s
Washington, Baylor,
UNLV, Richmond
The 10s
Missouri, Florida State, Dayton, Xavier
The 11s
Cincinnati, Illinois, Arizona State, Wichita State
The 12sMinnesota, Cornell, Louisiana Tech, Virginia
The 13s
Tulsa,
Siena, Western Kentucky, Charleston
The 14sOakland, Buffalo, Northern Colorado, Coastal Carolina
The 15s
Murray State, Pacific, Sam Houston State, Vermont
The 16sMorgan State, Mercer, Lafayette, Robert Morris (Play-In Game), Jackson State (Play-In Game)
The Bracket(Bracket courtesy Matt Reeves)
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