Monday, March 17, 2008

More Bracket Analysis...

The Bracket Matrix has posted his final results matrix for all 53 brackets he monitors on his Bracket Matrix blog. He has ranked the top brackets by category (number of exact seeds, etc.) and also lists overall results based on two bracket scoring systems. One of them, proposed by Gary Parrish at CBS Sportsline, gives bracketologists one point for every team, exact seed, and seed with one line correct. A better and fairer system, proposed by our buddy Paymon at PHSports, gives brackets three points for each correct team, two points for each exact seed, and one point for each team within one seed line.

Here's how we did:

Top brackets with the most teams seeded exactly right:
March Madness All Season: 41
Bracketology 101: 40
DantheMan4250: 39
Facts & Bracks: 38
Bracket WAG: 38

Top brackets with the most teams seeded within one of the actual seed:
Bracketology 101: 60
Mike on Sports: 60
March Madness All Season: 59
CollegeHoopsNet: 59
7 tied at 58

Top overall brackets (Gary Parrish scoring):
Bracketology 101: 164
March Madness All Season: 164
Mike on Sports: 161
CollegeHoopsNet: 161
Bracket WAG: 160
Facts & Bracks: 160
Lunardi's score: 148

Top overall brackets (Paymon scoring):
March Madness All Season: 333
Bracketology 101 : 332
CollegeHoopsNet: 328
Facts & Bracks: 328
Mike on Sports: 326
Lunardi's score: 307

For more Bracket Matrix stats and results, go to http://bracketproject.blogspot.com/ or http://bracketproject.50webs.com/comparison.htm

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Bracketology 101's Final Bracket Stats

Here are our final numbers for this year's bracket:

Teams correct: 64/65
Exact seeds: 40/65
Seeds within one of seed line: 60/65

Joe Lunardi's final stats:
Teams correct: 65/65
Exact seeds: 32/65
Seeds within one of seed line: 54/65

Jerry Palm's final stats (CSTV and CollegeRPI.com):
Teams correct: 65/65
Exact seeds: 31/65
Seeds within one of seed line: 57/65

David Mihm's final stats (Bracketography.com):
Teams correct: 64/65
Exact seeds: 34/65
Seeds within one of seed line: 58/65

For a complete breakdown of how every bracketologist did in predicting the field, click here:

http://bracketproject.atspace.com/comparison.htm

Overall, we are very pleased with how we fared. We set career highs in all three of the above statistics, and cracked the 60 mark in terms of seeding teams within one line. When all of the bracketologists tally up their statistics, we think we might have the best overall bracket.

We are obviously disappointed that Illinois State was left out and that Oregon got in. The Ducks' seeding at a 9 is ridiculous; they should have been one of the last four teams in at best. What ended up killing Illinois State's chances was probably the fact that other mid-majors like Western Kentucky and San Diego stole bids. The committee only gave six at-large bids to mid-majors and unfortunately (and we think unfairly), that list did not include the Redbirds.

In the next couple of days, we will post our Final Four picks and our complete brackets. We will also set up the annual Bracketology 101 Tournament Challenge group on ESPN.com.

Bracketology 101's Final Field of 65

The Breakdown
Here is Bracketology 101's Final Field of 65:

Last Four In
Kentucky, Illinois State, St. Joseph's, Villanova

Last Four Out
Oregon, Virginia Tech, Arizona State, VCU

Next Four Out
Ohio State, Massachusetts, Syracuse, New Mexico

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Seeds
The 1s
North Carolina, Memphis, UCLA, Kansas

The 2s
Tennessee, Texas, Wisconsin, Duke

The 3s
Georgetown, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville

The 4s
Pittsburgh, Drake, Notre Dame, Connecticut

The 5s
Michigan State, Washington State, Indiana, Clemson

The 6s
Purdue, Butler, Marquette, Vanderbilt

The 7s
USC, West Virginia, Gonzaga, Oklahoma

The 8s
BYU, Arkansas, UNLV, Texas A&M

The 9s
Mississippi State, Kent State, St. Mary's, Kansas State

The 10s
Miami-FL, Baylor, South Alabama, Davidson

The 11s
Arizona, Kentucky, Temple, Illinois State

The 12s
St. Joseph's, Villanova, Western Kentucky, George Mason

The 13s
Georgia, Oral Roberts, San Diego, Siena

The 14s
Cornell, Boise State, CS-Fullerton, Winthrop

The 15s
Portland State, UMBC, American, Belmont

The 16s
Austin Peay, Texas-Arlington, Mississippi Valley State, Mount St. Mary’s (Play-In Game), Coppin State (Play-In Game)

The Bracket
(Bracket courtesy Matt Reeves)


Questions? Comments? E-mail Bracketology 101 at bracketologyblog@yahoo.com

Saturday, March 15, 2008

Bracketology 101's Field of 65 - March 15

The Breakdown
Here's how we see things through Friday's games. A lot can (and probably will) change on Saturday, and those changes will be reflected in our final bracket when it's released on Sunday.

Our final Field of 65 will be released in stages throughout the day tomorrow and our final complete bracket will be posted sometime around 4:30 p.m. ET. We plan on having our fourth annual Selection Sunday live chat at 4:45 p.m. ET to discuss the bracket.

Enjoy the last 28 hours of craziness...

Out This Bracket

Ohio State, Arizona State, Stephen F. Austin, UC-Santa Barbara, Alabama State

In This Bracket
St. Joseph's, Oregon, Texas-Arlington, CS-Fullerton, Mississippi Valley State

Last Four In
Arizona, St. Joseph's, Villanova, Oregon

Last Four Out
Virginia Tech, Arizona State, VCU, Ohio State

Next Four Out
Massachusetts, Syracuse, New Mexico, Stephen F. Austin

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conference Breakdown
Big East (8), Big XII (6), Pac-10 (6), SEC (5), ACC (4), Big Ten (4), WCC (3), A-10 (3), MVC (2), MWC (2), Sun Belt (2)

America East - UMBC

ACC - North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami-FL

Atlantic Sun - Belmont

A-10
- Xavier, Temple, St. Joseph's

Big East - Georgetown, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Marquette, West Virginia, Villanova

Big Sky - Portland State

Big South - Winthrop

Big Ten
- Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana,

Big 12 - Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Kansas State, Baylor

Big West - CS-Fullerton

Colonial - George Mason

C-USA - Memphis

Horizon - Butler

Ivy - Cornell

MAAC - Siena

MAC - Kent State

MEAC - Morgan State

MVC - Drake, Illinois State

MWC - UNLV, BYU

Northeast - Mount St. Mary’s

Ohio Valley - Austin Peay

Pac-10 - UCLA, Stanford, Washington State, USC, Arizona, Oregon

Patriot - American

SEC - Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Kentucky

Southern - Davidson

Southland - Texas-Arlington

Summit - Oral Roberts

Sun Belt - Western Kentucky,
South Alabama

SWAC - Mississippi Valley State

WAC - New Mexico State

WCC - San Diego, Gonzaga, St. Mary’s

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Seeds
The 1s

North Carolina, Memphis, Tennessee, UCLA

The 2s
Kansas, Texas, Georgetown, Duke

The 3s
Wisconsin, Stanford, Louisville, Xavier

The 4s
Michigan State, Notre Dame, Drake, Pittsburgh

The 5s
Purdue, Indiana, Connecticut, Butler

The 6s
Marquette, Washington State, USC, Vanderbilt

The 7s
BYU, Gonzaga, Clemson, West Virginia

The 8s
Mississippi State, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, UNLV

The 9s
Kansas State, Miami-FL, Arkansas, Davidson

The 10s
Kent State, St. Mary's, Kentucky, Baylor

The 11s
Illinois State, South Alabama, Temple, Arizona

The 12s
St. Joseph's, Villanova, Oregon, Western Kentucky

The 13s
George Mason, Oral Roberts,
San Diego, Siena

The 14s
New Mexico State, Cornell, CS-Fullerton, Winthrop

The 15s
Portland State, Belmont, Austin Peay,
Texas-Arlington

The 16s
UMBC, American, Morgan State, Mount St. Mary’s (Play-In Game), Mississippi Valley State (Play-In Game)

The Bracket
(Bracket courtesy Matt Reeves)














Questions? Comments? E-mail Bracketology 101 at bracketologyblog@yahoo.com