tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post647876080829945695..comments2024-01-27T06:41:13.204-05:00Comments on Bracketology 101: Bracketology 101's Field of 68 - Feb. 28Bracketology 101http://www.blogger.com/profile/01277396896660963269noreply@blogger.comBlogger134125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-25867525322633780992020-03-09T21:44:51.380-05:002020-03-09T21:44:51.380-05:00It is much fun for entertaining a baby. The best ...<br />It is much fun for entertaining a baby. The <a href="https://www.whyienjoy.com/top-best-activity-center/" rel="nofollow"> best baby <br /><br />activity center for 1 year old</a> is one of best ways to entertain you baby. <br /><br />There are a lot of items for them to do things that play music, spin and many <br /><br />light colors. There are some activity center even with a mat for your lovely <br /><br />baby to enjoy the fun tummy time and learning to crawl, and a saucer for them <br /><br />to have dance or jumpy time. It can even manage to give you time to load the <br /><br />dishwasher or fold laundry or work on your laptop or even relax!<br /><br />For more interesting and useful information, please visit our parenting blog <br /><br /><a href="https://www.whyienjoy.com/" rel="nofollow"> Whyienjoy</a>.<br />Jennahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04800888545049268027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-29959069235640596422020-01-14T17:58:51.186-05:002020-01-14T17:58:51.186-05:00Thank you for sharing this also check for RS gold ...Thank you for sharing this also check for RS gold <a href="https://www.rsgoldsite.nl" rel="nofollow">rs gold osrs</a>Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04542601334726941905noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-885842169547946442019-12-30T03:32:18.931-05:002019-12-30T03:32:18.931-05:00There is no doubt that the Path of Exile is the be...There is no doubt that the Path of Exile is the best MMORPG game currently. If you haven't played it yet, I suggest you try it.<br /><br />There is no doubt that <a title="Buy POE Currency, POE Goods, Cheap POE Orbs - PoeCurrency" href="https://www.poecurrency.com/" rel="nofollow">POECurrency.com</a> is currently the best POE store. If you haven't bought it in their home yet, I suggest you try it.<br /><br />You will be satisfied with their services, experienced customer service, secure and fast transactions, and everything to your satisfaction.Cadencealidahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09283033757590423795noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-22472506342285050782013-05-29T15:52:29.492-05:002013-05-29T15:52:29.492-05:00I could not believe that Minnesota lost once again...I could not believe that Minnesota lost once again and at Mississippi, that was not in my predictions, was it on yours by any chance??pay per head softwarehttp://www.hostpph.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-22384879947816021612012-07-11T23:56:28.939-05:002012-07-11T23:56:28.939-05:00Whenever you Cheap RS Goldguys estimate BYU's ...Whenever you <a href="http://www.mmohome.com/" rel="nofollow">Cheap RS Gold</a>guys estimate BYU's seeding, do you do not forget that they have to play inside a Thursday/Saturday spot? Apparently the choice committee commonly drops them any line or even a pair of (or even more) annually they cook the tournament so as to make room for <a href="http://www.mmohome.com/" rel="nofollow">WOW Gold</a>their particular "no using Sunday" insurance policy.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-46273149899083196612012-02-01T20:26:12.604-05:002012-02-01T20:26:12.604-05:00I really like your blog it's really nice. I re...I really like your blog it's really nice. I really enjoy here. & Your article its so unique its amazing. Thanks a lot for sharing. Keep blogging.<br /><a href="http://www.fzf.com/Runescape.gold" rel="nofollow">RS Gold</a><br /><a href="http://www.fzf.com/Runescape.gold" rel="nofollow">Buy RS Gold</a><br /><a href="http://www.fzf.com/Runescape.gold" rel="nofollow">Cheap RS Gold</a>Runescape Goldhttp://www.4rsgold.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-7311505289785074552011-03-08T21:53:43.251-05:002011-03-08T21:53:43.251-05:00http://www.sportsbookbettingpromotions.com/sports-...http://www.sportsbookbettingpromotions.com/sports-news/football.htmlNFL Pickshttp://www.sportsbookbettingpromotions.com/sports-news/football.htmlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-75122447757307240632011-03-04T18:15:34.519-05:002011-03-04T18:15:34.519-05:00Considering UAB just beat Southern Miss in Hatties...Considering UAB just beat Southern Miss in Hattiesburg, should UAB make it to the Conference USA championship game, would that be enough to earn them an at-large bid should they lose in the championship?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13551283099720209960noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-30628500142576411832011-03-02T19:12:53.183-05:002011-03-02T19:12:53.183-05:00But how much of this is luck (or bad luck) and how...But how much of this is luck (or bad luck) and how much is these teams just not being as good as they ought to be? <br /><br />That's obviously the big question lolTheAnswer1313https://www.blogger.com/profile/09114078203031484534noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-77337505583325261822011-03-02T02:07:24.507-05:002011-03-02T02:07:24.507-05:00@Brad...well yes, if the mid-major conference had ...@Brad...well yes, if the mid-major conference had parity and was also "good", they'd have some good non-conference wins to show for it. In the top of Conference USA's case, they have parity at the top, and losses to Ole Miss, Marshall, Colorado State and each other. They have wins over Cal, USF, Miami and VCU. When you want to call it a very average conference (Pac10/SEC), give the teams in the conference wins over BYU (UCLA), Pitt (Tennessee), Notre Dame (Kentucky) and Tennessee & Texas (USC), and then we can talk about multiple bids. Just because there's parity in the CUSA doesn't mean its a bad league that deserves 1 bid. Parity plus the best win out of conference being Gonzaga (a bubble team) for the ENTIRE conference, plus 0 dominant teams makes it a 1 bid league.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16940181813926044564noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-21162208911604496562011-03-01T21:56:08.934-05:002011-03-01T21:56:08.934-05:00When Major Conferences are competitive they say &q...When Major Conferences are competitive they say "Oh, what great parity!"<br /><br />When Mid-major conferences have parity, they say, "Oh, that conference must suck."Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08004049116063352850noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-19416127221225090552011-03-01T20:46:36.943-05:002011-03-01T20:46:36.943-05:00"Conference USA is such a mess right now that..."Conference USA is such a <b>mess</b> right now that the regular season champ probably won't be worthy of an at-large (if needed) down the road, either."<br /><br />Oh, you mean, competitive?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08004049116063352850noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-18932670025233173492011-03-01T14:41:53.337-05:002011-03-01T14:41:53.337-05:00"Alot of times luck will balance, but you do ..."Alot of times luck will balance, but you do get certain times (UK, Washington, Maryland, Illinois) where it just doesn't. And thats where you see the difference between Kenpom and other ranking systems."<br /><br />But how much of this is luck (or bad luck) and how much is these teams just not being as good as they ought to be? <br /><br />I follow Butler and they've had a number of close losses too. I wouldn't attribute almost any of it to bad luck.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-43923032594575224742011-03-01T14:40:09.397-05:002011-03-01T14:40:09.397-05:001) Close games/KenPom/Margin of Victory - One thin...1) Close games/KenPom/Margin of Victory - One thing Pomeroy is working on for the future is a weighting for value of possession. Right now all possessions are valued the same, regardless of whether its a tie game with 30 seconds left, the first possession of the game or a team is up by 25 and draining the clock. Why does that make sense? Shouldn't the ones where the game is in the balance be weighted much heavier than when the game is already decided? A simple move like that would fix the metric and not reward late running up of the score.<br /><br />2) On West Virginia - On the bubble if they lose 6 of their last 9? Are you serious? Look at who they've played over those 9 games. Most teams haven't played that good of a schedule all year long! Do a comparison of WVU vs. Baylor/Colorado/Washington/Penn State. Tell me what you see. You wont see WVU anywhere CLOSE to the bubble.<br /><br />3) With regards to the pod seeding - What's wrong with trying to prevent teams that played each other this year from meeting to early in the tournament? Sure! Let's put UNLV/SDSU/BYU all in the same bracket. Or wait, maybe we could just use the conference tourny result and only give BYU a bid! Maybe put 11 of the Big east teams in one? That would make tons of sense.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16940181813926044564noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-34572347676515759602011-03-01T13:43:18.814-05:002011-03-01T13:43:18.814-05:00West Virginia?? Wins @Gtown, over Purdue, neutral...West Virginia?? Wins @Gtown, over Purdue, neutral Vandy, @Cincy, ND, @Duquesne, and over Clever St. You're not sure why that team is a 6 seed? really? WVU will also be favored in their 2 remaining games. Rated #18 by Pomeroy and Sagarin, #22 RPI.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-62529964369230616992011-03-01T13:17:52.403-05:002011-03-01T13:17:52.403-05:00I don't get West Va as a 6 seed at 18-10 after...I don't get West Va as a 6 seed at 18-10 after losing 4 of 7. Last wo games are against Louisvill and Uconn. Will two losses to ranked teams not knock them out - losing 6 of 9 games??? They should be on the bubble unless they can win at least one of those games and or win at least two in the BE Tourn.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-70661814071828960622011-03-01T12:01:32.869-05:002011-03-01T12:01:32.869-05:00You don't think that some teams are better at ...You don't think that some teams are better at closing out tight games than others? It's not all luck and, even if it were, luck tends to even out over the course of a season, by definition<br /><br />Agreed about it not being all luck. I think coaching comes into play in close games, maybe free throw shooting among other things.<br /><br />That being said, luck does not balance out over the course of the season. I mean you'd like to think that it does, but it's not always the case. A team plays maybe 30-35 regular season games? How many of those games are "close"....maybe 10. Your talking about an extremely small sample.<br /><br />Alot of times luck will balance, but you do get certain times (UK, Washington, Maryland, Illinois) where it just doesn't. And thats where you see the difference between Kenpom and other ranking systems.TheAnswer1313https://www.blogger.com/profile/09114078203031484534noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-19303029851766170232011-03-01T10:14:00.170-05:002011-03-01T10:14:00.170-05:00"Isn't that called luck? Is that how we w..."Isn't that called luck? Is that how we want to be separating teams out?"<br /><br />You don't think that some teams are better at closing out tight games than others? It's not all luck and, even if it were, luck tends to even out over the course of a season, by definition.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-34075610350585807432011-03-01T10:11:02.356-05:002011-03-01T10:11:02.356-05:00"That's why im terms of selecting teams....."That's why im terms of selecting teams...Kenpom might not be the greatest thing to do. But in terms of seeding I think its absolutely essential to consider."<br /><br />This makes more sense, since Pomeroy is meant to be predictive.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-17119912895657221802011-03-01T10:03:34.380-05:002011-03-01T10:03:34.380-05:00"...a team's ability to win close games a..."...a team's ability to win close games and other things that can turn a season over the course of 30 games."<br /><br />Isn't that called luck? Is that how we want to be separating teams out?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-34638016197962366182011-03-01T09:55:13.237-05:002011-03-01T09:55:13.237-05:00Another thing on seeding that I thought about.
I ...Another thing on seeding that I thought about.<br /><br />I understand that Travel considerations need to be considered. Keeping teams close to home isn't bad. But these policies and procedures for seeding is kinda crazy. You have the S Curve but rarely does it follow form because there's so many rules.<br /><br />For example, top 3 teams in each conference in separate regions. So basically the committe ignores how many from a conference is in but once they get in, its important to make sure they are separated. Why?<br /><br />You make the S Curve for a reason. It's to balance the regions as best as possible. Once you deviate from that with these rules, you create unbalance.TheAnswer1313https://www.blogger.com/profile/09114078203031484534noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-87552523194910313992011-03-01T09:54:02.048-05:002011-03-01T09:54:02.048-05:00"Maybe but its weakness is that it has no way..."Maybe but its weakness is that it has no way of measuring a team's ability to win close games and other things that can turn a season over the course of 30 games."<br /><br />If you want that sort of Bayesian correction, then check out Massey's ratings--similar idea to KenPom, but with additions for teams that "just win."Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-91633142597602328432011-03-01T09:48:55.426-05:002011-03-01T09:48:55.426-05:00I'm glad to see that we're encouraging tea...I'm glad to see that we're encouraging teams to win by just 30 instead of 50.<br /><br /><br /><br />Why not? Why shouldn't you be encouraged to win by as much as you possibily can?<br /><br />This isn't high school.<br /><br />I can understand if its Ohio St playing Centenary but in conference there's really no reason to not try and win by as much as you can. Granted you eventually get to a point where you empty the bench but at the point your overall Kenpom rating isn't going to be effected by that much.<br /><br />Nobody is being encouraged to "run the score up".....no coach in america is gonna sit there and say well my Kenpom rating might go up slightly if we win by 40 instead of 30. Even if the NCAA came out and stated they used the ratings (which truefully its in the supplemental package the committee gets but in reality its prob rarely used)<br /><br />The bottom line is that margin of victory has a better correlation to future success than actual win loss record. That cannot be argued.<br /><br />The argument that can be made is are we trying to get the teams that have the best chance of future success or are we trying to get the teams that during the course of the season did the best. That's why im terms of selecting teams...Kenpom might not be the greatest thing to do. But in terms of seeding I think its absolutely essential to consider.TheAnswer1313https://www.blogger.com/profile/09114078203031484534noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-13027852972379677162011-03-01T09:34:18.703-05:002011-03-01T09:34:18.703-05:00If we did a bracket today, Villanova and Kansas St...If we did a bracket today, Villanova and Kansas State would probably both be 6s.Bracketology 101https://www.blogger.com/profile/01277396896660963269noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-41835616175609084172011-03-01T09:24:59.671-05:002011-03-01T09:24:59.671-05:00"The strength of KenPom's approach is tha..."The strength of KenPom's approach is that it gives an indication of "fluke" versus "non-fluke" wins."<br /><br />Maybe but its weakness is that it has no way of measuring a team's ability to win close games and other things that can turn a season over the course of 30 games.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com