tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post4778645547671773139..comments2024-01-27T06:41:13.204-05:00Comments on Bracketology 101: B101's Bracket Banter - TuesdayBracketology 101http://www.blogger.com/profile/01277396896660963269noreply@blogger.comBlogger102125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-40310040713976577802012-07-11T23:53:56.879-05:002012-07-11T23:53:56.879-05:00I understand that WOW Goldyou would like to talk p...I understand that <a href="http://www.mmohome.com/" rel="nofollow">WOW Gold</a>you would like to talk primarily with regards to percolate teams, although what exactly should occur in purchase with regard to Fight it out to go look out onto the One seedling collection?<a href="http://www.mmohome.com/" rel="nofollow">RS Gold</a> As long as they head out 2-0 now, and gain the ACC tournament is plenty of, or even would they desire for teams before these to land?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-1805031543382477672011-03-02T22:05:42.439-05:002011-03-02T22:05:42.439-05:00With how awful this bubble is (Memphis, Dayton, Ma...With how awful this bubble is (Memphis, Dayton, Maryland, Colorado, Marquette all lose so far tonight to mostly god awful teams and its still early) and Cincys big road victory over Marquette - is it safe to say they are now a LOCK even if they lose to Georgetown and their first tourny game? Such a scenario would leave them 23-9 and 10-8 in the Big East.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-73108149424285297622011-03-02T15:23:28.344-05:002011-03-02T15:23:28.344-05:00Just know this mr. bracketology 101.
No way is So...Just know this mr. bracketology 101.<br /><br />No way is So. Miss or any other CUSA team gonna beat UTEP at home during the CUSA tourney!<br /><br />might as well pencil in UTEP as the automatic bid from CUSA.<br /><br />We have only lost one conference game at home, and that was to UCF on a make up game at 11 am on a monday morning where we had to play 4 games in 8 days.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-9980749412229465622011-03-02T11:32:48.103-05:002011-03-02T11:32:48.103-05:00I don't mind Belmont not getting more at-large...I don't mind Belmont not getting more at-large attention. They have only played 3 good teams and they lost all the games. If the NCAA committee wants to force teams to play tougher non-conference schedules, not giving at-large bids to marginally good teams who didn't play anybody non-conference is a good way of doing it. I do think Belmont is a good team, though. However, that's based on the fact that they can crush Kennesaw State, Campbell, Lipscomb, and Troy by nearly 40 points a game. Beating those teams by that many makes them good, but there is some question to how well that translates when they play really good teams. They have only played 3 games against the Pomeroy top 100, and lost to Vanderbilt by 9, to Tennessee by 9, and to Tennesse by 1.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-74234001386156349772011-03-02T10:10:07.495-05:002011-03-02T10:10:07.495-05:00Belmont currently has a Pomeroy ranking of 20. Th...Belmont currently has a Pomeroy ranking of 20. That's incredibly high for a team that's played their schedule. Given their good RPI and Sagarin rating, it makes me wonder if they shouldn't be getting more attention as an at-large candidate.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-14218896877768892192011-03-02T09:51:50.422-05:002011-03-02T09:51:50.422-05:00And here's the 2008 contest with Pomeroy winni...And here's the 2008 contest with Pomeroy winning it all, ahead of Sagarin predictive:<br /><br />http://www.mepstein.org/NCAA2008/scorepicksall4.cgiAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-13568339931917804752011-03-02T09:48:19.937-05:002011-03-02T09:48:19.937-05:00Also, notice that just picking the top seeds all t...Also, notice that just picking the top seeds all the way through was entered and finished way toward the bottom.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-5585530798801392612011-03-02T09:41:48.160-05:002011-03-02T09:41:48.160-05:00Mag900 -
Here is a contest in which I entered sev...Mag900 -<br /><br />Here is a contest in which I entered several predictive ratings:<br /><br />http://www.mepstein.org/NCAA2010/scorepicksall4.cgi<br /><br />My name is JGibson, and SP2 is from the Bayesian LRMC rankings from Sokol, UP is from the Sagarin predictive rankings from USA Today, MP is from the predictive component of Massey's rankings, and PP is from Pomeroy's rankings. SP1 is from the now-rejected old Sokol rankings. DP is Dolphin predictive, which finished on the bottom of the predictive computer rankings. As you can see, all of these rankings finished in the upper half of this contest, no matter what scoring system was used.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-16749527885931583062011-03-02T09:16:27.322-05:002011-03-02T09:16:27.322-05:00"but three years ago, Davidson had a seemingl..."but three years ago, Davidson had a seemingly similar absurdly high ranking in the Pomeroy rankings, and then went to the elite 8."<br /><br />Good point, that team might not have gotten an at-large had they needed one and came within a heartbeat of getting to the Final Four. They didn't have a single top 100 RPI win and yet were THAT good.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-57238062007975342292011-03-02T08:43:56.236-05:002011-03-02T08:43:56.236-05:00"Edge - ignore Pomeroy at your own peril. I w..."Edge - ignore Pomeroy at your own peril. I would never use it to select the tournament teams, but I do use it to help pick the winners of the games. Belmont may seem to have an absurdly high ranking, but three years ago, Davidson had a seemingly similar absurdly high ranking in the Pomeroy rankings, and then went to the elite 8."<br /><br />and last year kansas was 2, syracuse was 4 and wisconsin 9. since you claim to use kenpom for picking games, how did your bracket turnout last year?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14528272793562071068noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-53503815452767387662011-03-02T07:58:43.222-05:002011-03-02T07:58:43.222-05:00"The committee may as well draw teams out of ..."The committee may as well draw teams out of a hat."<br /><br />Post of the day.<br /><br />I know that Belmont isn't going to get an at-large should they need one but I'm beginning to wonder why the hell not.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-80403389643181820932011-03-02T07:26:49.127-05:002011-03-02T07:26:49.127-05:00Edge - ignore Pomeroy at your own peril. I would ...Edge - ignore Pomeroy at your own peril. I would never use it to select the tournament teams, but I do use it to help pick the winners of the games. Belmont may seem to have an absurdly high ranking, but three years ago, Davidson had a seemingly similar absurdly high ranking in the Pomeroy rankings, and then went to the elite 8. I do suggest looking at other predictive rankings as well, and not just Pomeroy. He likely does have Maryland's rating inflated due to their pummeling of really terrible teams. Check out Sokol's LRMC ratings. In that case, Maryland is 30th. But you really won't like Belmont's rating in that one.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-79952215239325490192011-03-02T07:05:45.283-05:002011-03-02T07:05:45.283-05:00If Nebraska were to beat Colorado this weekend the...If Nebraska were to beat Colorado this weekend then 2 Big 12 tourney wins would probably make them a lock. Only one Big 12 tourney win and a lot will depend on how other teams around the bubble do.Bracketology 101https://www.blogger.com/profile/01277396896660963269noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-59368376951410307472011-03-02T03:54:06.246-05:002011-03-02T03:54:06.246-05:00Hope not.Hope not.Chasenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-27177084019257589072011-03-02T03:06:25.514-05:002011-03-02T03:06:25.514-05:00@Bracketology 101
Nebraska fan here - In response...@Bracketology 101<br /><br />Nebraska fan here - In response to your comment "The night couldn't have gone much better for Nebraska. If they win at Colorado on Saturday, there's a very good chance they'll be in Monday's bracket"<br /><br />Let's say that our team wins against Colorado and gets into your bracket, wins the first round game in the conference tourney, but loses in the next game? Would they still be in the bracket?<br /><br />I realize that a lot can happen by then with upsets in those smaller leagues changing things. Just wanted an impression.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-41241013506739179572011-03-02T02:59:21.558-05:002011-03-02T02:59:21.558-05:00Not to mention losing by 13 at Ole Miss and by 23 ...Not to mention losing by 13 at Ole Miss and by 23 at home to Maryland, two non-tournament teams.<br /><br />The NIT is made for teams like Penn State: pretty good, competitive with good teams on a good night, but just not tournament-caliber.Chrisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-81775032689627982792011-03-02T02:51:21.258-05:002011-03-02T02:51:21.258-05:00Anonymous: regarding Penn State, playing Iowa and ...Anonymous: regarding Penn State, playing Iowa and Indiana once is already factored into their RPI and SOS. <br /><br />For a team with Penn State's OOC performance, 9-9 in league would be nowhere near acceptable unless it was a better-than-average 9-9. If they had an extra win over Iowa and Indiana (and only one loss to say, Ohio State and Purdue), they might be 11-7 but would have a weaker RPI and SOS.<br /><br />The point: when people talk about a 15-13 team even being under consideration for an at-large, they've already accounted for the tough schedule. <br /><br />To be honest, I know the bubble is weak, but I'm not impressed with a team with no good road wins (and only 2 road wins total), no good OOC wins, 4 OOC losses (including Maine at home by 10!), and 13 total losses. Penn State will have a chance to make some noise in the NIT again.Chrisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-62456454452938156622011-03-02T01:55:52.079-05:002011-03-02T01:55:52.079-05:00@ Anonymous 1:46
Unless the people doing the sele...@ Anonymous 1:46<br /><br />Unless the people doing the selection are interested in the vagaries of counterfactual history, they will judge Penn State on their actual schedule, not one they possibly could have had. After all, if they would have had an "easier" schedule they might have lost @Iowa or @Indiana (like Illinois and other schools). You only get credit for the games you actually play, not the ones you *could* have won.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-37507058720351458732011-03-02T01:46:37.834-05:002011-03-02T01:46:37.834-05:00Will the committee take into account or even notic...Will the committee take into account or even notice that Penn state played the hardest big ten schedule if they got to play indianna and Iowa twice they could easily be 10-7 instead of 8-9Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-22254505952282979802011-03-02T01:27:07.440-05:002011-03-02T01:27:07.440-05:00There's at least a 78% chance Brian went to No...There's at least a 78% chance Brian went to Notre Dame. Big East love, random, cherry-picking vitriol for Boston College, contrived use of big words...78 might be underselling it, actually.Nickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09181153457983332902noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-23259015170029516612011-03-02T00:59:08.021-05:002011-03-02T00:59:08.021-05:00Edit to my 2nd BC stat:
7-4 vs. RPI 51-100; only ...Edit to my 2nd BC stat:<br /><br />7-4 vs. RPI 51-100; only 1-2 vs. RPI 26-50.Brian Reinthalerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15565375642456529370noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-65530706133379182332011-03-02T00:34:59.767-05:002011-03-02T00:34:59.767-05:00Andrew EC, looks like you picked the wrong week to...Andrew EC, looks like you picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue. edge summed it up pretty nicely, above, but I just could not let this line go:<br /><br />"I think what we saw with the BC-VT game tonight (and the VT-Duke game on Saturday, and others) is that the ACC is just a hell of a lot better than the commentariat thinks."<br /><br />What I learned is that Duke has fattened itself on an awful ACC this year (what happened when Duke ventured away from home and faced middling Big East teams? 2-pt neutral court win over the Big East's 11th rated team and a spanking at the hands of the BE's 4th rated team. <br /><br />BC is a putrid team by any reasonable bubble standards:<br /><br />1 Top 50 RPI win (1-6 overall)<br />7-4 vs. the #26-50<br />Home losses to Harvard, Miami (FL) and Yale.<br />Beat the 14th best Big East team by 2, at home.<br />Beat UMass by 5 on "neutral" court (READ: in Boston).<br /><br />But since they beat Virginia Tech in Blacksburg (you know, like UVA did), they must be somethin' special. After all, the Cavs win @VaTech really showed the commenariat what the ACC grind is all about. They of the 43-point loss to Washington, 12-point loss to Wichita St., 21-point loss to Stanford, 13-point home loss to Iowa State, 16-point home loss to #270 Seattle.Brian Reinthalerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15565375642456529370noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-17676619892900358742011-03-02T00:34:21.673-05:002011-03-02T00:34:21.673-05:00@AG
Why not? We can't let deserving mid-majo...@AG<br /><br />Why not? We can't let deserving mid-majors like Presbyterian or major teams like Northwestern go without their NCAA bids.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-65405778363932098542011-03-02T00:12:58.174-05:002011-03-02T00:12:58.174-05:00@edgeinducedcohesion:
If the Great West ever gets...@edgeinducedcohesion:<br /><br />If the Great West ever gets an automatic bid, you know the committee is going to expand the field again.AGnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9072987.post-81476980289715425592011-03-02T00:00:07.264-05:002011-03-02T00:00:07.264-05:00Ohio State would probably still get the 1 seed.Ohio State would probably still get the 1 seed.Bracketology 101https://www.blogger.com/profile/01277396896660963269noreply@blogger.com